The two observations most often apparent when encountering a wind factory in Australia is first the negative impact on the landscape (particularly from the air), and secondly how few of the gaggle of machines are actually turning. No surprise that the reality does not support the gung-ho performance modelling.
"The company’s chief executive, Greg Elkins, was once manager of generator connections for AEMO, responsible for assessing, approving and integrating every new power plant into the eastern grid. His company strongly supports the energy transition,"
Not surprising, because he is making his living out of it!
But it is not going to happen, as Paul Miskelly explained over a decade ago.
As for the wind droughts that his team of high-powered experts discovered, a junior clerk could have looked at the Aneroid Energy site and documented all the droughts from 2009.
A slightly more senior clerk could have done the arithmetic to demonstrate that storage is not a feasible option to get over the problem.
Congratulations for putting wind droughts on the front page!
They are just a mob of religious morons. You saw them all this week congregating in a master class of collective idiocy at Newcastle Harbour. Even if they stopper all the coal ships for ever, the following would happen:
- the coal would be bought by the Asian users elsewhere,
- it would make zero, zero difference to the bushfires and floods in Australia or the worlds climate.
we have not seen collective idiocy like this since Jim Jones took his brain dead followers into the jungles of South America.
Which in a way is all OK by me, except they are damaging our electricity grid and adversely impacting my life and the future of my children with their moronic whining.
The real scandal is that AI, power demand curve shifting up and power generation investment, has been *the* business and economic news of the past 3 years… unless you are in Australia where the parochial discussion has been renewables at the expense of all available evidence.
The shocking thing is that no one picked up the lack of data centre-driven energy demand over the past several years either at CSIRO the AEMO, or the pork barrel buffet of NGOs, or the supposed political and business media in the country.
Paul is a sensationally effective communicator on climate and energy issues. This very long video is a remarkable production, a whole course on the false ideas that drive the net zero crusade and the ways that it fails.
Take it up a section at a time.
The first few minutes are spellbinding a beautiful introduction to the gas of life and then a cut to the sinister machinations of the World Economic Forum, like the rise to Marxist-Leninism, it starts with a gigantic lie.
EXPOSING THE LEADERSHIP OF THE WEST TRAINED BY THE WEF
Can you please write a kid friendly peice I can share with my teens to explain this to them in a coherent way? There just is no resource to at least temper the nonsense they've had all schooling. Not to mention the entire conservation movement has been consumed by this single wicked problem and nothing else gets done
I suspect there is a second layer of disaster still to be explained to the Australian voter.
Not only are there regular recorded wind droughts longer than assumed in the models, they can occur in rainy and cloudy weather which adds solar power shutdowns to the wind power shutdowns.
In such circumstances, utterly unbelievable and uneconomic volumes of storage in batteries and pumped solar would be quickly exhausted. Then regular daily demand still has to met and the batteries and dams have to be recharged quickly to meet the next grid stabilisation crisis. It’s a treadmill where it is easy to imagine complete, week-long failure of recovery in the electricity grid.
Francis Menton has done an excellent report for the Global Warming Policy Foundation on the simple arithmetic of this problem using historical wind and sun droughts in the northern hemisphere. https://thegwpf.org/content/uploads/2022/11/Menton-Energy-Storage-Conundrum.pdf?mc_cid=80a8bdfb6a. He concludes you need months of storage to overcome the problem. that is of course economically unimaginable. Someone should tell Chris Bowen!
I wonder about the technical ability of all those involved in installing more unreliable systems to an already unreliable grid with the insane expectation that reliability will improve. Such arguments are a mathematical impossibility.
Unless I misread this, there were no observations that breached AEMOs 14pct/8 consecutive days assumption. Its not clear how Chris came to the conclusion that the grid would fail under the observed conditions.
The two observations most often apparent when encountering a wind factory in Australia is first the negative impact on the landscape (particularly from the air), and secondly how few of the gaggle of machines are actually turning. No surprise that the reality does not support the gung-ho performance modelling.
"The company’s chief executive, Greg Elkins, was once manager of generator connections for AEMO, responsible for assessing, approving and integrating every new power plant into the eastern grid. His company strongly supports the energy transition,"
Not surprising, because he is making his living out of it!
But it is not going to happen, as Paul Miskelly explained over a decade ago.
As for the wind droughts that his team of high-powered experts discovered, a junior clerk could have looked at the Aneroid Energy site and documented all the droughts from 2009.
A slightly more senior clerk could have done the arithmetic to demonstrate that storage is not a feasible option to get over the problem.
Congratulations for putting wind droughts on the front page!
https://rafechampion.substack.com/p/the-green-energy-transition-is-all
They are just a mob of religious morons. You saw them all this week congregating in a master class of collective idiocy at Newcastle Harbour. Even if they stopper all the coal ships for ever, the following would happen:
- the coal would be bought by the Asian users elsewhere,
- it would make zero, zero difference to the bushfires and floods in Australia or the worlds climate.
we have not seen collective idiocy like this since Jim Jones took his brain dead followers into the jungles of South America.
Which in a way is all OK by me, except they are damaging our electricity grid and adversely impacting my life and the future of my children with their moronic whining.
So, we're building an energy grid dependent on unpredictable weather when unpredictable weather is the problem we're trying to solve. Go figure?
The real scandal is that AI, power demand curve shifting up and power generation investment, has been *the* business and economic news of the past 3 years… unless you are in Australia where the parochial discussion has been renewables at the expense of all available evidence.
The shocking thing is that no one picked up the lack of data centre-driven energy demand over the past several years either at CSIRO the AEMO, or the pork barrel buffet of NGOs, or the supposed political and business media in the country.
💯
This is awesome, I sent Paul a heap of stuff a couple of weeks ago but this would have been in the can before he saw it.
https://energysecurityfreedom.substack.com/p/the-fast-approaching-uk-energy-disaster?
Just brilliant, and don't miss his extended treatment of climate science.
CLIMATE REALISM BY PAUL BURGESS
https://www.youtube.com/@ClimateRealism
Paul is a sensationally effective communicator on climate and energy issues. This very long video is a remarkable production, a whole course on the false ideas that drive the net zero crusade and the ways that it fails.
Take it up a section at a time.
The first few minutes are spellbinding a beautiful introduction to the gas of life and then a cut to the sinister machinations of the World Economic Forum, like the rise to Marxist-Leninism, it starts with a gigantic lie.
EXPOSING THE LEADERSHIP OF THE WEST TRAINED BY THE WEF
STARMER, TRUDEAU, MACRON
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zVKnGzEyui4&t=703s
Can you please write a kid friendly peice I can share with my teens to explain this to them in a coherent way? There just is no resource to at least temper the nonsense they've had all schooling. Not to mention the entire conservation movement has been consumed by this single wicked problem and nothing else gets done
The reason no simple explanation is available is because, simply put, it doesn’t make sense.
Perhaps a copy or two for politicians, but do keep it simple
I’ve argued for the same message ✅
Great article Chris… I only wish you would get read more!
Excellent analysis.
I suspect there is a second layer of disaster still to be explained to the Australian voter.
Not only are there regular recorded wind droughts longer than assumed in the models, they can occur in rainy and cloudy weather which adds solar power shutdowns to the wind power shutdowns.
In such circumstances, utterly unbelievable and uneconomic volumes of storage in batteries and pumped solar would be quickly exhausted. Then regular daily demand still has to met and the batteries and dams have to be recharged quickly to meet the next grid stabilisation crisis. It’s a treadmill where it is easy to imagine complete, week-long failure of recovery in the electricity grid.
Francis Menton has done an excellent report for the Global Warming Policy Foundation on the simple arithmetic of this problem using historical wind and sun droughts in the northern hemisphere. https://thegwpf.org/content/uploads/2022/11/Menton-Energy-Storage-Conundrum.pdf?mc_cid=80a8bdfb6a. He concludes you need months of storage to overcome the problem. that is of course economically unimaginable. Someone should tell Chris Bowen!
All so stupid. Carbon dioxide is plant food and the sun has more influence on warming than anything else.
I wonder about the technical ability of all those involved in installing more unreliable systems to an already unreliable grid with the insane expectation that reliability will improve. Such arguments are a mathematical impossibility.
Unless I misread this, there were no observations that breached AEMOs 14pct/8 consecutive days assumption. Its not clear how Chris came to the conclusion that the grid would fail under the observed conditions.
“There needs to be a national discussion on how to manage renewable fuel shortages in our climate changed future.”
We have had it and decided on batteries. Didn’t see them
mentioned though I plead guilty to not reading every word. You started to lose me around the point you clasdified wood as a fossil fuel.
The last paragraph sums it up, at a minimum, one of the two assumptions is a lie (ie either CAGW is nonsense, or Net Zero renewables are).
In reality, both are lies.
Nuclear?